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Thailand seeking alternative energy sources and plans to utilize alternative energy over the next five years

Local banks likely to pose lower net profits in 2nd quarter

Economy likely to pick up next year

Mobile phone companies to ease call rate promotions

Baht weakens to lowest level in 2 years

Thailand seeking alternative energy sources and plans to utilize alternative energy over the next five years

Deputy Foreign Minister Preecha Laohapongchana is visiting Germany this week to study the country’s advanced technology in research and development (R&D) and utilization of alternative energy, according to journalists.

“Given current world price hikes, the government is seeking alternative energy sources to secure Thailand’s energy supply and sustain domestic demand,” he said.

“It’s time we reduce our reliance on fossil-based fuel and turn to other sources, including solar cells, bio-energy and even wind-based power,” the minister was quoted as saying.

The Thai government is studying alternative energy sources and plans to utilize them within five years, the minister said.

The government’s move was a response to continuing global oil price hikes - to more than US$60 a barrel on major international markets. (TNA)


Local banks likely to pose lower net profits in 2nd quarter

Local commercial banks are likely to register lower net profits in the second-quarter of this year since interest and non-interest-based incomes have declined, according to the Kasikorn Research Center (KRC).

The leading think tank projected this past week that net profits from the second-quarter operating performances of commercial banks as a whole would drop by 5.65% to 2.61 billion baht, from 2.76 billion in the first quarter of this year.

The expected decline in net profits stems from lower earnings obtained by major commercial banks, partly because they had not received any dividend from the investment in the Vayupak Fund.

Classified by the size, major banks are expected to register net profits (after tax deduction) of 1.94 billion baht, down 8.30% from the first quarter.

Medium-scale banks are likely to earn 3.63 billion baht in net profits, up 6.76% from the first quarter, and small-scale banks are forecasted to enjoy net profits of 0.86 billion baht, up 23.47% from the first-quarter.

KRC forecasts that in the first half of this year, local banks will enjoy combined net profits of 5.37 billion baht, a surge of 61% from the corresponding period last year.

It also projected that the upward adjustment of lending rates would help the performance of commercial banks in the second half of this year.

The transfer of non-performing loans by the banks to asset management companies would help ease bad debts in the banking system.

However, there remain many risk factors that could affect banks’ performance. Included are the oil price surge, higher inflation rates, and slow export growth. (TNA)


Economy likely to pick up next year

The Thai economy is set to begin regaining momentum next year with a growth rate of 4-5%, but the country is likely to experience higher trade and current account deficits, according to the Kasikorn Research Center (KRC).

The leading think tank said the economy is expected to grow 3.6-4% this year, down from 4.5-5.1% as earlier estimated, because of mounting pressure from the fuel price hike, higher interest rates, and current account deficit.

It projected the second-quarter economy will expand 3.5%, close to 3.35% in the first quarter, boosted by investment expansion.

The production sector will grow at a satisfactory level and tsunami-affected tourism will improve from the first quarter.

KRC stated negative factors that deterred economic growth in the second quarter include higher oil prices that eroded consumer confidence, and a higher current account deficit than in the first quarter due to a sharp increase in oil imports.

This year, KRC forecasts that the country will have an account deficit of US$4.5 million, or 2.5% of gross domestic product, the highest in eight years.

Exports are projected to grow 13% while imports are likely to rise by 25.4%. Inflation rates are set to edge up to 3.9% from 3.7% and are forecast to stay at 4% in the fourth quarter of this year.

The baht might stay at an average of 40.70 to the US dollar compared with 40.22 last year. The Bank of Thailand is expected to gradually increase the 14-day re-purchase rate to 3.5% at the end of the year from its current rate of 2.5%.

For next year, the economy is likely to regain momentum with a growth rate of 4-5%, bolstered by state spending, especially in mega infrastructure projects, and salary hikes for government officials. (TNA)


Mobile phone companies to ease call rate promotions

Mobile phone operators are set to ease back on their stiff call rate promotion competition and focus on service quality and supplementary services, according to Kasikornthai Research Center.

The leading think tank reported competition in the mobile phone market has markedly intensified in the first half of this year with many operators offering call rates as low as 0.25 baht per minute.

This has resulted in inefficient service and connection problems between networks, especially during “rush hours”, as steep increases in phone calls would overload operator signal channels, resulting in phone line congestion.

In the first four months of this year, the number of mobile phone users has increased by 18.75% over the same period last year, to 28.5 million. Of this, 83% are pre-paid phones and the remaining 17% post-paid phones.

However, this period of call rate promotions is due to end soon, and phone operators will ease back on their competition in the second half of the year by turning away from a price war to focusing on network quality and the introduction of various supplementary services.

KRC believes problems with signal quality could be addressed in the second half if each operator manages to increase their signal channel as planned.

KRC representatives also said the mobile phone market would be moderately affected by the economic slowdown in the second half of the year.

Although mobiles phone play an important role in daily living, few use them in unnecessary ways.

During the current economic downturn, consumers are likely to reduce phone use to save costs, which will be another risk factor to watch out for, in addition to stiff competition among operators, according to KRC. (TNA)


Baht weakens to lowest level in 2 years

The baht continued to depreciate this past week and broke through the level of 42 to the US dollar, to 42.02, the weakest in 2 years, since August 2003, according to a money dealer.

Suksan Wattanayakorn, vice president of Kasikorn Bank Plc’s Money Management Division, attributed the further weakening of the local currency to the continued purchase of the dollar as investors expected the United States’ Federal Reserve would raise key interest rates while the central banks of other countries were likely to decrease them.

He said the series of explosions in London subways, which caused many casualties, had not adversely affected the local currency.

Pichit Akkarathit, president of MFC Asset Management Co, said investors rushed to dump shares at the opening of trading upon concern over the subway bombs in London, but after that, the purchase of stocks in banking, finance, communications and construction contracting sectors had regained the SETs momentum and pushed up the index into positive territory.

He conceded the subway bombs had affected investment sentiment, particularly of foreign investors who wanted to wait for a clear picture of the situation.

At present, he said, there is no signal of foreign capital outflow from the country.

However, he believes hefty fuel price hikes would have a greater impact on the Thai stock market than terrorist attack fears. (TNA)