Thailand to enter the rainy season on May 15 – forecast and key impacts

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The Thai Meteorological Department announces the start of the rainy season, with predictions of slightly lower rainfall than last year.

BANGKOK, Thailand – The Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) has officially announced that Thailand will enter the rainy season on May 15, marking the beginning of a crucial period for the country. The department’s detailed forecast indicates that this year’s rainy season will be slightly different from the previous year, with overall rainfall expected to be lower than usual.

Key Highlights of the Rainy Season Forecast:

Overall Rainfall: The forecast predicts that total rainfall this year will be approximately 5% higher than average. However, this will not be uniform across the country.



Early to Mid-Season (May to July):

Northern Thailand is expected to receive 5-10% more rain than usual during the early season through mid-July. This period will likely see heavier rainfall in areas such as Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, and the northern provinces.

Southern Thailand will experience a drier season than average, with a decrease in rainfall, particularly on the eastern side of the peninsula.

Between June and mid-July, certain areas, especially the North, Northeast, and Central Upper Regions, may experience dry spells due to intermittent rain.


Late Season (August to October):

Heaviest Rainfall: The months from August to October will see the most intense rainfall, particularly in the Northern and Northeastern regions, where heavy downpours are expected.

Risk of Tropical Storms: The northern and northeastern regions may face the threat of one or two tropical storms during this period, which could bring flash floods, mountain runoff, and overflowing rivers. This is an important factor to watch closely as it could lead to significant flooding.

El Niño-La Niña Phenomenon: Currently, Thailand is experiencing a neutral phase in the El Niño-La Niña climate cycle, meaning there is no dominant weather pattern. This neutral phase is expected to continue until September-November, contributing to a more balanced distribution of rainfall across the country. However, the neutral phase does suggest that rainfall may be slightly higher than average in certain areas.

The neutral climate phase will likely result in balanced rainfall distribution, but with slightly higher-than-average rain in some areas.

Precautionary Measures for Citizens and Businesses:

Water Usage: The department advises citizens to plan water usage effectively, especially in the northern and northeastern regions, which have been experiencing recurring droughts. In these areas, it is important to manage water resources carefully to mitigate potential agricultural losses.

Flooding Risks: With the heavy rainfall expected during the latter months, there is an elevated risk of flash floods and river overflow, particularly in areas vulnerable to tropical storms. Public and private sectors should prepare for potential disruptions, especially in flood-prone zones.

What You Need to Know:

Preparation: The Thai Meteorological Department emphasizes the importance of staying updated on weather forecasts and taking necessary precautions.

Follow Official Updates: People are advised to follow the latest announcements and warnings from the TMD through its official website at www.tmd.go.th or via its contact numbers: 0-2399-4012-13 and 1182 (24-hour emergency helpline).

The department is also advising local government units and related agencies to stay vigilant and implement early warning systems in anticipation of potential storms and flooding during the wet season. For agricultural sectors, special attention should be paid to managing irrigation and water storage to reduce the impact of possible water shortages or excess rainfall in certain regions.

With the rainy season now officially underway, it is crucial for the public to stay informed, prepare adequately, and take proactive measures to protect lives and property from the erratic weather that the rainy season often brings. (TNA)