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AFG examines the local auto industry

AFG members enjoyed their Mantra dinner.
The dynamic Automotive Focus Group changed the format of its monthly
meetings to incorporate a dinner at the Mantra, as well as some foremost and
authoritarian speakers.
With a Mantra full house of 32 members in attendance, the evening was
sponsored by CominAsia and EMAG, while the logistics, food and organization
were handled very efficiently by the Mantra staff.
The format for the meeting came from suggestions from the members
themselves, who expressed an interest in extended Q&A sessions with top and
informed speakers, and that is exactly what they got.
John Welby of DHL spoke about the recent developments in the Auto Industry
in Thailand, the strategic geographical location of South East Asia where
Thailand serves as the base for Auto Industry in the region.
Mention was made of the reduction in sales in the last few months of the
current year, reflecting the Thai economic figures in which there has been a
small negative growth during each of the past two quarters. This led to
discussion on the pros and cons of Thailand industry and interestingly
suggestions for improving packaging and logistics costs.
David Chuter of Futuris spoke about the background of the Thai auto
industry, plus recent trends and what we could extrapolate from these into
the future. Thailand successfully attracted large investments from across
the globe using unique promotion schemes developed strategically by BOI.
This has led to a very good infrastructure development and he specifically
mentioned Hemaraj Industrial Estates to be very good locations in the
Eastern Seaboard area for automotive industry. Positives included the easy
access to the LCB deep-water port.
The world currencies were looked at and discussed with the Thai baht having
fluctuated against the USD, AUD and JP Yen and how, even with setbacks it
has been stable for the past few years overall in spite of up and down
swings in between during this period.
The government’s new car buyer scheme has affected future business and
swelled production and sales in late 2012 and early 2013 but this has been
creating a void in second half of 2013.
This inaugural dinner meeting was so successful a concept, that the AFG
committee is already looking at holding another one.
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Lab tests show Thai rice clear of chemical residues, toxins

The Commerce Ministry reports that the latest tests on
220 rice samples from various provinces found no hazardous residues or
chemical toxins.
Deputy Commerce Minister Yanyong Phuangrach said lab tests, conducted on
packaged rice samples, found no phosphine, fungus or alpha toxin.
The volume of inorganic bromide residues, found in 130 samples, did not
exceed the safety standard level of 50 milligrammes/kg, he said.
The rice samples were collected from Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Samut Prakarn
and Chachoengsao provinces from July 24.
Yanyong said quality tests would continue in other provinces to ensure
safety for consumers and test results would be sent to foreign importers to
gain their trust and confidence in Thai rice.
Regarding the return of 3.2 tonnes of Thai rice from the US, the deputy
minister said the lot was exported by Nakhon Luang Rice Trading to Best Food
Service Incorporation in the US on October 25 last year and it was approved
by the US Food and Drug Administration.
The US importer complained about the odor of the rice.
The Thai Food and Drug Administration immediately checked the lot on its
return and confirmed that the rice was free from chemical residues, he said.
The Thai seller and US buyer mutually agreed on the return of the rice and
no penalty was levied against the Thai exporter, he said. (MCOT)
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Central bank reports
economic slowdown in July

Thailand’s economy continued to decline in July in every
sector linked with a 0.7 percent decrease in private consumption, said an
official of the Bank of Thailand (BoT).
Mathee Supapongse, senior director of BoT’s Macroeconomic and Monetary
Policy Department, said purchases of automobiles and durable products as
well as private investment have declined.
July’s exports shrank by 1.3 percent year-on-year to US$18.804 billion, he
said.
“It could not be indicated if the Thai economy has reached its bottom but
there was a positive sign that the economy in Q3 would be better than Q2. We
need to wait for the August performance,” said Mathee.
The current account deficit in July was US$709 million, an increase from
US$664 million in the preceding month, due to gold imports, he said, adding
that, excluding gold imports, the country enjoyed a current account surplus
of US$255 million.
He was optimistic that Thailand would not encounter a serious current
account deficit problem such as has happened to India.
Price rises in liquefied petroleum gas and expressway fees, starting Sunday,
would have a slight impact on Thailand’s inflation which should be in the
predicted framework of 0.5 percent. (MCOT)
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UNCTAD chief not worried
by potential US stimulus curb

The Secretary-General of the United Nations Conference on
Trade and Development (UNCTAD) said he viewed the expected reduction in
stimulus measures by the US Federal Reserve (FED) will only affect financial
and capital markets in the short-run.
Dr Supachai Panitchpakdi on Thursday spoke at ‘Thailand Focus 2013’, a
two-day international road show in Bangkok.
He said Asia has been relying on liquidity injected by the US Federal
Reserve’s Quantitative Easing measures which saw a large amount of capital
flowing into the region, raising concern about a bubble in the bond and
stock markets.
The UNCTAD chief said he viewed it as positive for Asia that the US will
reduce its QE measures for capital inflows, reversing the flow, which will
enable Asia, including Thailand, to see the real economic fundamentals. The
Thai economy may shrink but will become stronger in the long run.
Dr Supachai suggested that the government invest in projects to encourage
more efficient production, being an example for the private sector to follow
suit, allowing the Thai economy to sustainably expand and it will not
negatively affect public debt.
The UNCTAD Secretary-General also advised Thailand not to depend heavily on
its exports to China, for the country’s economy is trying to balance itself.
(MCOT)
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Finance Ministry forecasts
higher economic growth in Q3

The Thai economy in July showed signs of slight
improvement compared to the previous month, despite an overall slowdown and
falling exports, according to a senior Finance Ministry official.
Ekniti Nitithanprapas, deputy director general of the Fiscal Policy Office,
said July exports rose by 1.5 percent year-on-year but increased by 0.8
percent month-on-month compared to June due to expansion in the electronics
and fuel sectors in tandem with the strengthened US and European economies.
Regarding consumption in the private sector, he said revenue from value
added tax (VAT) in July declined by 1.9 percent year-on-year but VAT
collections based on domestic consumption increased by 5.5 percent
year-on-year.
Commodity imports in July were higher by 9.0 percent year-on-year while
private investment in construction, based on property business, increased by
29.9 percent year-on-year in July.
Private investment in machinery, based on imports of capital goods in July,
dropped by 3.6 percent year-on-year but expanded by 8.7 percent compared to
the preceding month.
Kulaya Tantitemit, executive director of the Macroeconomic Policy Bureau,
said the economic indicators on Thailand’s supply in the industrial and
agricultural sectors has slowed down but the tourism sector has expanded.
The manufacturing production index (MPI) in July dropped 4.5 percent
year-on-year and 0.4 percent month-on-month compared to June, while raw
material imports increased by 12.5 percent year-on-year, reflecting a
positive sign in the industrial sector, she said.
Kulaya said the agricultural production index (API) in July shrank by 2.7
percent year-on-year and 7.4 percent month-on-month in accord with
decreasing rice production partly due to drought.
On the brighter side, Thailand’s tourism expanded 22.5 percent year-on-year,
mainly from visits by Chinese, Malaysian and Singaporean tourists.
Ekniti said there were signs that the Thai economy would become more lively
in the third quarter. Thailand’s economic stability, both internal and
external, remains solid given inflation and unemployment rates at 2.0
percent/year and 0.5 percent/year respectively.
The country’s foreign reserves are as high as US$172 billion - sufficient to
cope with the global economic volatility - while the fiscal policy will be
significant in stabilizing the economy in the second half of the year, he
said. (MCOT)
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