Bond yields and oil surge rattle global stocks, Thai assets draw selective buying

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Asia Plus Securities says rising bond yields, oil prices and global uncertainty are putting fresh pressure on financial markets while investors assess Thailand’s economic outlook.

BANGKOK, Thailand – Global stock markets came under heavy pressure from rising bond yields, higher oil prices and persistent uncertainty over the Middle East, while Thailand’s hosting of the 2026 IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings could provide an opportunity to showcase the country’s economic potential to global investors.

Asia Plus Securities said the US 30-year Treasury yield rose to 5.7%, its highest level in 24 years, while Brent crude climbed to about US$101.20 a barrel amid continuing uncertainty over the Middle East conflict. The firm also pointed to a hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve. Minutes from the September Federal Open Market Committee meeting showed a unanimous decision to raise interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 3.75% to 4%, with expectations of another increase before the end of the year as inflation remains above the Fed’s target. The US inflation figures due on October 14 could influence the market’s expectations for future interest-rate policy.



Higher bond yields are also raising concerns about a potential yield shock being passed through to borrowing costs and asset quality, particularly non-performing loans and credit costs. European bank shares were hit particularly hard, with the STOXX Europe 600 Banks index falling 3.3%. Against this unsettled global backdrop, Thailand is preparing to host the IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings from October 12 to 18.

Asia Plus said the meetings provide an important opportunity for Thailand to present its economic direction to policymakers, financial institutions and investors from around the world. The securities firm identified seven industries that could represent new growth engines for the Thai economy: food, modern automotive, retail, smart electronics and digital technology, medical and wellness, tourism and the creative economy.

These sectors include established Thai businesses with potential to move into higher-value activities, particularly in areas connected to global supply chains such as smart electronics, data centers, electric-vehicle supply chains and food processing. Thailand’s medical, wellness and tourism sectors could also benefit from opportunities to develop beyond their traditional roles and become regional hubs offering higher-value services.


The IMF and World Bank meetings therefore have significance beyond international exposure, according to Asia Plus. The event could create opportunities for foreign direct investment, technology transfers and new business partnerships while giving international investors a closer look at Thailand’s economic strengths. The report also noted signs of renewed foreign interest in some Thai assets. Foreign investors bought a net 1.72 billion baht of Thai equities and 6.26 billion baht of Thai bonds in the latest trading session, for combined net inflows of about 7.98 billion baht.

Foreign investors had nevertheless remained net sellers of Thai shares for 11 consecutive trading days, with net equity outflows of about 7.44 billion baht in October to date. Thai bonds, by contrast, recorded net foreign purchases of about 5.80 billion baht during the month. Asia Plus said some foreign investors had continued accumulating selected Thai stocks, particularly in lagging sectors, high-season businesses and energy and petrochemical companies.

The firm highlighted BEM, SCC and ITC among its market picks for the day, citing company-specific factors including infrastructure opportunities, the integration of olefins businesses and export-related benefits from a weaker baht. With global markets facing higher financing costs and geopolitical uncertainty, Thailand’s week-long hosting of the IMF and World Bank meetings will put the country’s economic structure, industries and investment opportunities in front of an international audience.