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Money matters
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Snap Shots
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Modern Medicine
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Heart to Heart with Hillary
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Let’s go to the movies
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Staying happy in Paradise - the Counseling Corner
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Money matters:
Graham Macdonald
MBMG International Ltd.
Nominated for the Lorenzo Natali Prize
Financial weapons of mass destruction, part 2
In the early noughties, structured products failed because
the markets fell way beyond expectations. Big name brokers who sold masses of
these products - then called ‘precipice bonds’ - went out of business as the
compensation claims mounted. You don’t have to go that far back to witness how
structured products have let down investors. In 2008, the beleaguered Lehman
Brothers was the counterparty backing a number of structured products issued by
companies such as NDF, Meteor, DRL, Arc and L&G (guarantees behind most products
are provided by a third party i.e., not the company you put your money with).
Bottom line? Investors who put money into structured products
backed by Lehman Brothers are still in limbo, and may not receive their capital
back. While the collapse of Lehman Brothers has brought the issue of
counterparty risk to the fore, the Investment Management Association (IMA),
which represents the UK fund management industry, has for some time been at
loggerheads with structured product providers over the transparency of their
plans, saying that the disclosure requirements for products which compete in the
same market as funds needs to be similar.
Imagine this. You’ve just retired and are wondering what to
do with your life’s savings. It’s all you have, and you need to keep it safe.
You go to a professional financial adviser, who correctly evaluates your risk
profile as ‘cautious’. He offers you an investment plan that is “100% capital
secure”. Whatever happens to the stock market, you are told: “your initial
capital investment will be returned to you in full.” This assurance is repeated
eight times across three pages of the booklet you are given.
Then you hear on the news that Lehman’s has gone bust…nothing
to do with you of course...unfortunately everything - all the savings you had in
the world has disappeared into the black hole of the biggest bankruptcy filing
in history. You now have the dubious honour of being a Lehman’s creditor. And
you are told you will be lucky to ever see a penny of your life savings again.
And all because, unbeknownst to you, the ‘issuer’ of this
plan was Lehman Brothers. Turns out your capital wasn’t 100% secure after all -
it was only as secure as Lehman Brothers.
If the average purchaser knew they were buying derivatives -
a class described by Warren Buffett as ‘financial weapons of mass destruction’ -
they might not have been so keen to invest.
There are three main credit rating agencies: Standard &
Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings. They provide well-known
letter-based ratings ranging from AAA as the most creditworthy to C for
exceptionally high levels of credit risk. But, as was shown in the case of
Lehman Brothers, which all three agencies rated at least A at the time of its
demise, they can make errors.
Recent report from the
Financial
Services Authority
FSA Findings - Counterparty Risks
The FSA findings were many; however, I would like to focus on
their comments regarding counterparty risk and in particular product and
counterparty concentration risk; or, in simple terms, their guidance on
portfolio diversification.
“We take the view that Structured Investment Products are
unsuitable for customers who do not want to take any risk with their capital or
have no capacity for loss.”
Consequently, even where full capital protection is provided
within the structure, the nature of the counterparty risk is sufficient to
exclude Structured Investments from being classed as suitable products for these
types of clients. On reflection this seems eminently sensible.
Steer clear of structured products because:
* They usually don’t pay company dividend income, but rather
an income linked to growth in the index’s value - much less reliable and more
volatile than dividend income.
* They are hard to evaluate - even the best analyst couldn’t
tell you what level an index will be at in five years’ time.
* A mix of cash savings and a dividend paying index fund can
offer similar attributes more cheaply and straightforwardly.
* They are opaque - investors don’t really see what they’re
buying, or at best it’s heavily disguised in the small print.
* They are inflexible, locking your money away for several
years on pain of various penalties if you want to withdraw money before the
policy reaches the maturity date.
* They confuse instead of educate, encouraging people to
believe in ‘guaranteed’ investments and the tooth fairy.
* Their robustness depends on the health of various parties
that the investor may not even know are involved (such as in the Lehman Brothers
case).
* Liquidity is safer than guaranteed products and having a
multi-asset actively managed portfolio should guarantee you a much safer
investment.
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The above data and research was compiled from sources
believed to be reliable. However, neither MBMG International Ltd nor its
officers can accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the above
article nor bear any responsibility for any losses achieved as a result of any
actions taken or not taken as a consequence of reading the above article. For
more information please contact Graham Macdonald on [email protected]
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Snap Shots: by Harry Flashman
Wet or dry - Be Prepared
“Be
Prepared” has always been the motto of the Boy Scouts Association, and a
concept that they have zealously guarded. In fact, popular rumor has it
that the Association took the American satirist Tom Lehrer to court
after he sang a ditty with that title. For those of you who missed it,
the final verse which raised their ire included:
“If you’re looking for adventure of a new and
different kind,
And you come across a Girl Scout who is similarly inclined,
Don’t be nervous, don’t be flustered, don’t be scared.
Be prepared!”
So what has that got to do with photography? Quite a
lot actually. Look at the photographs with the column this week. It had
rained very heavily last weekend, and the drainage system in this
village could not cope, and flooding was prevalent (as usual). I was
driving along and two children appeared, playing in the waters with
their scooters. The photo opportunity was just wonderful and I had the
camera in the car. What is more, I had space on the memory chip, the
batteries were fully charged, and I was ready to shoot.
I
took about a dozen shots, and here have published the two which I
particularly like. They show two children, being children, and enjoying
everything that being a child can bring to them. Something that we
adults forget to do. But to get these shots it was necessary for me to
“be prepared”.
I have written many times on the difficulties of
photographing children. Whilst adults are only too happy to be
photographed (especially Thai women), the attention span of children can
be measured in nanoseconds, or milliseconds at most. Posed shots are
always a letdown and you are more likely to receive a grimace than a
natural smile. The longer you try, the less likely you are to get the
shot you wanted. Photographing children and animals is fraught with
danger and disappointment.
However, if it is just practice that you wanted, we
have just had the Jester’s Charity Children’s Fair and there were
certainly many children to photograph. But here comes the problem. You
may know you are trying to get the best shot ever of little Johnny, but
little Johnny doesn’t know it. And what’s more, doesn’t care! With a
short attention span, he is not going to stand still long enough for you
to fiddle around with camera settings, flash settings and exposure
mathematics. No, when photographing children, use the Auto setting on
your camera, and that is one of the few times I will recommend that
mode! To get a good kid pic means that you have to be totally set up and
ready.
Let’s look at the equipment needed first. In general,
the further away you get, the more natural the photograph you will get.
So, a small zoom lens (35-70) works very well in this situation as you
can get far enough away from the child without invading the child’s
‘personal space’ and producing shyness or forced behavior. In my case, I
used a 135 mm lens for these shots (as I didn’t want to get my feet
wet).
Some photographers swear by Auto-focus (AF) for this
type of shot, but personally I find that the noise is distracting for
children. The “whiz-whizz” attracts for the aforesaid three point four
milliseconds attention span, and then they are off again. However, the
newer AF cameras (lenses) are much quieter and are probably the best in
this situation.
No, it is a simple case of being prepared and just
jumping in to get the shots, don’t stage manage, and lots of luck! And
look out for photo opportunities, even when it is raining.
Modern Medicine:
by Dr. Iain Corness, Consultant
Know ENUF about your NOF?
Acronyms in medicine can kill. This has been borne out on
many occasions, but medical notes are full of them. Take PD, for example.
That can mean Provisional Diagnosis, Panic Disorder, Parkinson’s Disease or
even Police Department. Another is GS, which stands for Gleason Score (a way
to grade prostate cancers), but unfortunately also stands for another 15
items, including the Gardner Syndrome, Griscelli Syndrome, Gitelman Syndrome
and Gorlin Syndrome. Take your pick, and hope it fits the situation.
However, returning to your NOF, the subject of this
week’s column, this stands for Neck of Femur, and fracturing your neck of
femur (fracturing your hip) is very prevalent as we get older.
Over the past six years there have been approximately
420,000 hip fractures in the UK. Many of these people will have been
permanently disabled, most will have suffered a dramatic reduction in their
quality of life and more than 80,000 people will have died as a consequence
of their hip fracture. Hip fractures alone cost the NHS ฃ2.3 billion per
year.
There are a few reasons we get a fracture of the NOF and
the first is because our bones become more brittle as we get older, as the
calcium levels become depleted. This is called ‘Osteoporosis’, or the
fragile bone disease, and affects the whole skeleton but it commonly causes
fractures to bones in the wrist, spine and hip. There are over 70,000 hip,
50,000 wrist and 120,000 spinal fractures each year in the UK. And these are
mainly the older generations (and these are the generation that includes
pensioners, of which a large number come to Thailand to retire, and get
their fractured NOFs treated locally).
There are many people who are ‘at risk’ of osteoporosis,
including:
Post-menopausal women and not taking estrogen.
A personal or maternal history of hip fracture or
smoking.
Post-menopausal woman who are tall (over 1.7 meters) or
very thin.
Males with clinical conditions associated with bone loss.
Anyone taking medications that are known to cause bone
loss, including corticosteroids such as Prednisone, various anti-seizure
medications such as Dilantin and certain barbiturates, or high-dose thyroid
replacement drugs.
People with type 1 (formerly called juvenile or
insulin-dependent) diabetes, liver disease, kidney disease or a family
history of osteoporosis.
People with thyroid conditions, such as hyperthyroidism
or parathyroid condition, such as hyperparathyroidism.
Those who have experienced a fracture after only mild
trauma.
People with X-Ray evidence of vertebral fracture or other
signs of osteoporosis.
That list above seems to cover just about everyone, so
how can you find out whether you have already experienced calcium loss and
osteoporosis? This can be demonstrated very simply by Bone Density Scanning.
Bone density scanning, also called dual-energy X-Ray
absorptiometry (DXA or DEXA) or bone densitometry, is an enhanced form of
X-Ray technology that is used to measure bone density loss. DEXA is today’s
established standard for measuring bone mineral density (BMD).
One of the main reasons (with women) is the dwindling
hormonal levels that come with the menopause, which affect the calcium
metabolism.
Finally, there is the design of the neck of the femur and
hip joint itself, which beggars belief from the engineering point of view.
When you fall on to the hip, the very thin NOF is easily sheared off. If you
subscribe to the celestial theory of our development, then God was certainly
not an engineer, despite building our world in a record setting six days.
Returning to the inherent problem, what we have to do is
treat the osteoporosis. Evidence has shown that half of future hip fractures
would be prevented if everyone was treated for osteoporosis after their
first fracture. Unfortunately, it is not quite that simple.
The metabolism of calcium is not such that if you start
to drink gallons of high calcium milk every day you are cured. Getting the
calcium from the stomach to the bones is complex, and whilst calcium
supplements have their place, they are not the be all and end all.
If you are at risk, consider checking your BMS (bone
mineral density) first and be guided from there.
Heart to Heart with Hillary
Dear Hillary,
Loved the genie joke about understanding Thai women. What I would like to know
is it just as hard for Thai women to understand foreign men?
Also Perplexed
Dear Also Perplexed,
No it is not the same situation, Petal. The Thai women just accept you as you
are and don’t try to understand you. How many times have you been told, “You
think too much,” by a Thai lady? That is because they don’t waste time trying to
fathom out cross-cultural enigmas. After all, there is no point, is there? Just
enjoy yourself and don’t deliberately upset anybody. When you can do that, then
you are part of the way towards understanding, but always remember that the more
you know, the less you will understand.
Dear Hillary,
I wanted to take out this girl from my office. I suggested dinner at a very good
restaurant and when I asked where should I pick her up, she said that she would
meet me there at the restaurant. When she turned up (late) she had another girl
with her and we ended up eating as a threesome, with me paying of course. They
chatted to each other all the way through the meal and all but ignored me. They
both ordered the most expensive dishes on the menu and couldn’t eat all their
food and insisted on being given doggy bags to take home. I was going to run
them home, but they said that they were going clubbing and said good night. What
is the score here, Hillary? Am I being taken for a mug, or what?
Will the wallet
Dear Will the wallet,
I am afraid that the girl from the office, on whom you had designs, does not
regard the association with you as deep as your hopes for a liaison with her.
Look at the big picture, Petal. Even though it is common for Thai girls to bring
a chaperone in the early stages of a relationship, the disregard for you and the
expensive orders and going clubbing and not inviting you does not look like
someone trying to impress you, does it? Put it down to experience, Will, and
probably try to evaluate any relationship a little further before jumping in
with invitations to expensive restaurants.
Dear Hillary,
I have visited Thailand many times over the past three years. Fortunately (more
by good luck than good management) I have avoided the bar beer female traps, so
am almost a virgin if you like in Thailand. My credit card has never left my
wallet! This time I am coming over for six weeks and I am wondering if there is
some sort of agency I could apply in to get a nice, non-demanding partner for
the holiday? Does this exist in Thailand? No hurries for the reply, I won’t be
coming out till March next year.
Vic
Dear Vic (the virgin),
It’s time to reach out and face reality, my Petal. You want a non-bar girl, who
is willing to drop everything for six weeks and make your bed and polish your
shoes, no doubt. Just where are these wonderful women who might fit the bill for
you? Yes, there is an agency that will supply your needs and wants at short
notice for the duration of your holidays, and that is called “your local bar”.
What other women are going to drop everything to wander around after you,
picking up whatever you might drop? Get real, Vic. I can certainly see why you
are still a virgin. You probably have the first shilling you ever made as well.
Dear Hillary,
This is a very personal question, but please don’t take it seriously. Why do the
Thai girls all wear those molded plastic and rubber bras that look like two
dumplings attached to the front of their chests? It is obvious that the lumps
don’t belong to them, but come from their bra manufacturer. I’m like a lot of
guys and like a nice pair on a girl, but real ones, not rubber ones, please.
Tim the T-man
Dear Tim the T-man,
I presume you mean that your name refers to Tim the Toyman, you naughty little
Petal! I must admit that I have never heard the girls in the lingerie shops
asking if madam would like one lump or two, as I have heard in some five star
restaurants over coffee. Perhaps something swinging is going on behind the
kitchen swinging doors that Hillary is unaware of. Dearie me! And talking about
doors, since Thai girls were standing behind the door when the chests were given
out (the Russian ladies made it to the front row followed by the Italian Mammas
on row two), we have to do something to catch the eye of Toymen like you, Tim.
Some of us have had to resort to rubber dumplings, while others of us have
managed to get an appreciative man, like yourself, to sport out for silicone
ones. But even the dumplings have to be more attractive than the two fried eggs.
And so you have discovered our secret. Please don’t tell everyone, that’s a good
boy, but just save up the money for your girlfriend’s cosmetic surgery.
Let’s go to the movies:
by Mark Gernpy
Now playing in Pattaya
Red Eagle / Insee Daeng:
Thai, Action/ Thriller – Forty years ago today, on October 8, 1970,
Thailand’s greatest action star ever was filming a dangerous stunt
involving a helicopter, off the beach at Jomtien. His name was Mitr
Chaibancha and he died that day, in a horrendous accident, in front of a
crowd of onlookers, and the nation of Thailand was stunned.

Thai super hero –the Red Eagle.
Now, the film that was being shot that day is the basis
for a new version of the story, and a reworking of the hugely successful
film series from the 1950s and 60s, of which it was the final chapter.
This time Red Eagle stars the leading Thai actor of our time,
Ananda Everingham. A highly anticipated, wildly hyped movie.
Legend of the Guardians: The Owls of Ga’Hoole (3D):
US, Animation/ Fantasy – A new animated feature that has gotten
wide-ranging applause for its cutting-edge animation, and inventively
superb use of 3D. It’s about a young barn owl who is kidnapped by the
owls of St. Aggie’s, ostensibly an orphanage, but where owlets are
brainwashed into becoming soldiers.
Helen
Mirren, right, voices Nyra in Warner Bros. Pictures’ Legend of the
Guardians: The Owls of Ga’Hoole. (Photo/ Warner Bros. Pictures)
Our hero escapes to the island of Ga’Hoole, to help its
noble owls fight the army being created by the wicked rulers of St.
Aggie’s. By the people who made the marvelous Happy Feet. Note:
it’s real 3D. From the very beginning of production. In 3D only
at Pattaya Beach, other locations 2D.
Devil: US, Horror/ Thriller – A group of people
trapped in an elevator realize that the devil is among them. Produced by
M. Night Shyamalan, which the directors and crew are desperately trying
to live down, being that his name, post-Airbender, is as welcome
as the devil himself. Mixed or average reviews. Not at Big C.
Wall Street 2: Money Never Sleeps: US, Drama –
Oliver Stone directs this follow-up to the acclaimed 1987 film – 23
years later. There are some really good turns by a number of people:
Michael Douglas, Eli Wallach, Frank Langella, Josh Brolin. Some of their
scenes are well done with a lot of intensity in the execution. But
without much point or purpose, for me. Oliver Stone seems to visit many
of the events of the financial crisis without explaining what’s really
going on. I think if you were very familiar with the events, you could
bring your already-formed feelings to bear on the scenes you witness,
but without being so primed, it really makes no sense. Everyone is very
intense and angry and confrontational about something, but about what is
not explained, and thus I find the movie profoundly unsatisfactory.
Still, it shows a lot of skill in filming scenes where much of great
moment seems to be happening. Mixed or average reviews.
The Extraordinary Adventures of Adele Blanc-Sec / Les
aventures extraordinaires d’Adele Blanc-Sec: France, Action/
Adventure/ Fantasy/ Mystery – The version showing at Major and Pattaya
Beach is English dubbed (over French – i.e., their mouths are
pantomiming French, what you hear is English) and with Thai subtitles.
At Big C, Thai-dubbed only. An adventure written and directed by Luc
Besson set in the early part of the 20th century, and focused on a
popular novelist and her dealings with would-be suitors, the cops,
monsters, and other distractions. Adapted from what is said to be an
extremely popular comic adventure series written and illustrated by
French comics’ artist Jacques Tardi. The film is set in the carefree
world before World War I, where Adele Blanc-Sec, an intrepid young
writer, will go to great lengths to achieve her goals, even sailing to
Egypt to get a mummy.
I really don’t know what to say about this movie. Maybe
I’ll just cop a plea and say, “You have to be French!” The strange,
sometimes cruel humor (such as the slapstick around the guillotine that
ends with the wrong person being beheaded or the supposedly humorous way
in which Adele turns her sister into a living vegetable by managing to
have her fall backwards on a hatpin during a tennis match thereby
driving a pin through her brain.) Nonchalant, off-handed nudity,
pleasant pictures, pleasant story, pleasant costumes, nostalgic times, a
“carefree world.” You, or your children, might find it enjoyable enough.
Edge of Darkness: UK/ US, Crime/ Drama/ Thriller –
Vintage Mel Gibson, working within the familiar framework of a bloody
revenge thriller. He plays a homicide detective who investigates the
death of his activist daughter, and uncovers not only her secret life,
but a corporate and government cover-up as well. Mixed or average
reviews. Not at Big C.
Saturday Killer / Mue Puen Dao Phra Sao: Thai,
Action/ Comedy – About a troublesome gunman who kills for money to cure
his impotence, and a mysterious girl he has a crush on but whose heart
he can’t seem to win. This is the middle film in a trilogy of crime
films, Friday Killer, Saturday Killer, and Sunday Killer,
all with well-known Thai comics paired up with leading ladies. No
English subtitles at Big C. 18+
Eternity / Chua Fah Din Sa Lai: Thai, Drama/
Romance – Always-solid Thai filmmaking, and class act in many ways. It’s
one of the most interesting Thai movies to come along in some time.
Based on a revered and classic Thai novel of 1943, the film depicts a
forbidden love story in which adulterous lovers are physically chained
together for all eternity. Starring Ananda Everingham.
Resident Evil: Afterlife: UK/ Germany/ US, Horror/
Sci-Fi/ Thriller – The series continues. This time, in a world ravaged
by a virus infection turning its victims into the Undead (read:
zombies), Alice (Milla Jovovich) continues on her journey to find
survivors and lead them to safety. Rated R in the US for sequences of
strong violence and language. Generally unfavorable reviews, but the
last Resident Evil did a whopping business in Thailand, and this
one is doing the same – it’s been Thailand’s top film for September’s
last three weeks. Shown in both 3D and 2D versions at Pattaya Beach (real
3D); in 2D elsewhere, and Thai-dubbed only at Big C.
The 3D version is authentic 3D, using the same cameras
James Cameron created for Avatar. His systems and cameras remain
at the cutting edge of 3D technology. Why they would want to use this
marvelous technology for a zombie flic is another question entirely, but
I want to help clear up the confusion as to what kind of 3D is actually
being used under the generic and often misleading label of “3D.” This is
genuine 3D.
Detective Dee: China/ Hong Kong, Action/ Crime/
Thriller – When the mysterious deaths of a series of loyal subjects
threaten to delay the 690 A.D. inauguration of Empress Wu Zetian, she
summons the infamous Detective Dee back from exile to solve the crime.
Based on a Chinese folk hero, and starring Andy Lau and Tony Leung.
Shown in a Thai-dubbed version only.
The Snow White / Tai Tang Glom: Thai, Horror/
Thriller – Two students stealthily dissect the dead body of a pregnant
woman just to get the dead infant in her belly to do black magic. But
the magic doesn’t work, and they’re hunted by the ghost of the dead
woman. Rated 18+ in Thailand. Not at Major.
Scheduled for Oct 14
RED: US, Action/ Comedy –
The initials “R.E.D.” stand for “Retired, Extremely Dangerous.”
Retired from the CIA, that is, and formerly top agents. Now framed for
assassination, they must use all of their collective cunning,
experience, and teamwork to stay one step ahead of their deadly pursuers
and stay alive. Starring Bruce Willis, Helen Mirren, Morgan Freeman,
John Malkovich, Karl Urban, and Mary-Louise Parker. Early reviews:
Generally favorable.
Staying happy in Paradise - the Counseling Corner
Richard L. Fellner
Social withdrawal
“Mike? I haven’t seen him for quite some time now!”
When the initial euphoria about life abroad has
settled, cultural quirks, disillusionment and language barriers, coupled
with a lack of a support system can create a sense of loneliness for
expats. Even those who coped quite well with the challenges of
transition, start to miss a close and sufficiently large circle of
friends after a while. Many may have loose leisure or sports partners,
but no one they would call a really good, intimate friend. So even life
in Thailand can start to feel depressing after a while - out of
recurring feelings of loneliness.
Younger people usually deal with this challenge more
easily - it is usually easier for them to integrate into new
environments, to learn the new language and to make contacts with local
people. Older people, however, often develop a desire to retire from
public life. Over the years, many of them even tend to reduce their
contacts to the people they once enjoyed hanging out with, only leaving
their apartments to buy goods or to (quietly) attend the weekly expat
meetings. Eventually, even that may feel to exhausting. So it is that we
have to read in our newspaper that people died isolated and lonely -
whether from illness or even by their own hands. In my view, that’s the
worst end of life, considering the dreams they once had in mind when
deciding to move to Thailand.
When confronted with loneliness, feelings of
depression or anxiety: stay active, keep meeting your friends and
maintain your hobbies! But also keep an eye on your friends and
acquaintances: how are they actually doing right now?
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Live the happy life you planned!
Richard L. Fellner is head of the Counseling Center Pattaya
in Soi Kopai and offers consultations in English and German
languages after making an appointment at 0854 370 470. |
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