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Money matters

Snap Shots

Modern Medicine

Heart to Heart with Hillary

Let’s go to the movies


Money matters:   Graham Macdonald MBMG International Ltd. Nominated for the Lorenzo Natali Prize

Development - Art or Science? Part 2

The philosophy of subsistence

It is vital to understand this when trying to bring about any kind of development in the developing world. Subsistence farming required the farmer to evolve a system of crop and/or animal management that ensured the continuous survival of the family. It took centuries to develop these systems and, once they were created, the societies following such a stable survival system would become ultra conservative and reject all attempts at change.

Subsistence farming as practised in really poor areas is almost entirely based around manpower using quite primitive hand tools. This can give the romantic idea of independence but it is, at the same time, an enormous constraint to change. Under reasonably fertile soil conditions it may take one man a year to cultivate 1.3 acres. Of this area, 80% would provide enough food for a year, leaving some 20% for cash crops such as cotton or coffee. Providing there are unlimited land resources which will counter the population explosion, the subsistence system will provide for the family, virtually indefinitely, even with famines, droughts and many other calamities.

Though the system is good, its one main drawback is that it is dependent on family labour. To put this into proportion we must compare this with the West. In the USA it takes 1.3 man-hours of work to grow wheat from seed to seed. The problem for this mechanized form of agriculture is that it needs thousands of dollars worth of investment in machinery. Also, the farms are large which allows for economies of scale. Consequently, the American farmer can export maize to Kenya at a cheaper price than the local Tanzanian farmer can produce it by hand locally. Another thing to bear in mind is that the former produces enough food for 100 people - twenty of which are overseas whilst the subsistence farmer’s only objective is to provide food for his family.

One of the issues regarding the development of the subsistence farming communities is that many experts think that all subsistence farmers need to do is improve their agricultural husbandry methods and they can be soon like farms in the West. This is a fundamental error. The ‘subsistence farming’ system and the ‘farming as a business’ one are as different as chalk and cheese.

Subsistence farming is very efficient at growing crops and raising livestock, and has provided continuous sustenance for the family in variable environments which are often adverse. It has done this for centuries. The system was devised for survival but has limited development potential due to the manpower restraint.

Farming as a business evolved, fairly quickly, as a system of farming matching the needs of the urban areas. Without the industrial revolution there would have been no agricultural development and certainly no mechanization of farming practices.

So, if we want to bring about the development of the poor, we must consider the question of urbanization. Without this there can be no development for the rural underprivileged. However, it is not an easy thing to achieve and it is easy to create slums along with their immense health and social problems.

The importance of urbanization as a factor of development

People in power want fast development in the developing world. Needs are identified and the answer must be provided by the time the next election or promotion comes around. They forget that it took the West hundreds of years to achieve their present developed economies.

Many politicians et al have tried to improve the plight of the poor worldwide. Most have failed due to corruption, poor advice and bad investments. For example, President Nyerere of Tanzania wanted to improve his people’s daily lifestyle. The concept was good but the advice was not. He was not made fully aware of the vast expense that such an undertaking would cost. The result was virtual bankruptcy, the sisal and cashew nut exports collapsed and the foreign exchange rate became chaotic. All because the costs of urbanization had been grossly underestimated as they continue to be by present day planners in the West.

The population explosion

In the 19th and early 20th century, science and medicine advanced rapidly in the West. This was not matched by the rest of the world and particularly in the tropical areas which had their own vicious, insidious diseases. This kept the populations low. WWII brought great leaps in medical knowledge, motivated by the need to keep the troops in good health. After the war, these medical advances became available in the more unfavourable climates of the world. The result was a population explosion which crept up almost unnoticed. For instance, in 1950 the estimated population of Nigeria was 50 million. In 2000, it was recorded at 120 million and the projection for 2050 is 300 million. In the 1930s, the population of India was 300 million - now it is over 1.2 billion.

Let us think about the implication of this. Over a fifty year period, Nigeria would have to increase four fold its availability of foodstuffs, housing, clothes, pots and pans, schools, medical facilities, water, etc., just to stand still. Over the same time, the small holders would have to multiply the production of foodstuffs by four, not to improve the diet but just to maintain what their forebears had half a century before. This is a massive task with limited resources.

There is no population problem for a country if the amount of land available for subsistence farming is not limited. However, with populations doubling every generation, land availability has become a limiting factor. Fragmentation becomes an issue and boundary disputes increase. Families become functionally landless and have insufficient land to grow enough food to feed themselves. The family gets indebted and eventually has to sell their land to pay off their debts. Employment in the rural areas is scarce as each family is independent for its labour needs. This then forces the broken families from the rural areas which cannot support them to the fringes of urbanizations where they join others in the same plight and so the shanty town is created with all its inherent problems. It is relatively easy to provide work for one person, it is less so for one million people.

Corruption

Sadly, developing countries are also infected with another serious debilitating disease - corruption. It is not true to say that it is always internally inspired. In fact much of it was from the West as it was only the rich developed countries that had the money available for corrupting Heads of State. Much of this ‘funding’ ended up in Swiss bank accounts. Nothing less than a tragedy for the peoples of the countries involved.

Management as a problem for the developers

The West was sincerely interested in developing less developed countries. Seemingly large sums of money were allocated though these were, in reality, woefully inadequate for what was envisaged. There was also a problem that donors were prepared to provide capital but not the recurrent funds which were vital if a project was to really succeed.

However, there was an even bigger problem for the developers. They lacked highly skilled, experienced people to manage schemes involving of hundreds of millions of dollars. One answer was to put in highly specialized, well qualified people at the top. Doctorates become de rigueur. Sadly though, the extreme specialization meant that the person lacked breadth in knowledge and believed that his/her own special subject was the only true answer. There is the classic case of someone arguing that African agriculture would never progress if they did not deal with the eelworm problem. Climate, disease, civil unrest, corruption and soil corruption all took second place to these eelworms.

Development Economics

Forget all about theories of economic development, project analysis, 20% internal rates of return and cost benefit analysis. These may be useful tools but should be aids to development and not the prime issues of it.

What we need to understand is that any development involving infrastructures is very costly and takes years to achieve. That is why many project descriptions give great attention to the economic objective but completely ignore infrastructural components. It is a Catch 22 situation. Without involving everything that actually needs to be included in a project then the costs look good and the developed nations are happy to donate or lend. However, if everything is included then it becomes uneconomic by Western standards and no money is given at all.

The purpose of this treatise is to try and bring together the reasons why the subsistence farming system is breaking down and real development is so slow. Unless one understands the fundamental aspects of subsistence farming, as it exists now, and the complexities of introducing changes to that system, then no meaningful plans can be made for the future. Many authorities, governments and international aid organizations confuse ‘symptoms’ with ‘causes’.

Strangely enough, the best way to help subsistence farmers is to get people off the land and into the towns but only with the right planning and finance. These two points are often overlooked. Sadly, for many developing countries, developments are nullified by the alarming annual increases in population. There is just no way that the small rural surpluses (if any) can meet the enormous development costs of the urban sector and if the subsistence farmer’s lands are being degraded because of population pressure then the future is indeed bleak.

Undoubtedly the best aid the West can give to developing countries is to assist in urbanization and job creation in these new towns. Unfortunately, this is a sensitive issue as many of the developed countries cannot even do this for their own populations.

It must also be understood by the West that subsistence agriculture is a stable and quite sophisticated survival system, provided there is no population pressure. However, it is near or possibly has even reached its plateau or peak of development and has only limited further expansion potential because of farm power restraint.

Development is not a continuous ladder from subsistence farming to farming as a business as they are two entirely different and almost incompatible systems. It is not possible to change the former into the latter even with the injection of large amounts of development aid - both initial and recurring - without urbanization and the expansion of the markets.

Development in the under-developed areas of the world can be a very expensive business and takes a long time to achieve. The sooner the developed world realizes this the better it will be for ALL concerned.

Is development art or science? It will take both for it to happen properly.

The above data and research was compiled from sources believed to be reliable. However, neither MBMG International Ltd nor its officers can accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the above article nor bear any responsibility for any losses achieved as a result of any actions taken or not taken as a consequence of reading the above article. For more information please contact Graham Macdonald on [email protected]



Snap Shots: by Harry Flashman

Digital creativity

Photographers who were interested in a little experimentation used to try all kinds of camera settings to under expose or over expose the negatives to produce high key or low key shots. Some of the resulting photographs could be very powerful.

However, there seems to be a very common notion that ‘somehow’ digital photography is totally different from the old fashioned film photography. I do not know how this happened, but let me assure you that digital and film cameras do exactly the same job. They record an image you can later retrieve.

First, a little basics. All photography has worked on the principle of allowing light carrying the image to go through a lens and then fall on to a sensitized surface. Originally this was a glass plate coated with silver compounds which got darker when exposed to light. The degree of darkness depended upon how much light came through the lens, and for what length of time. This is the principle covering aperture (or lens opening), and shutter speed (how long the aperture is left open). That principle still holds good today. The only difference is that the “film” is now an electronic capture system.

This has led to what people have called the “digital revolution”. A completely new way of photography, requiring special new cameras which could show you the image you had just taken, immediately! No more agonizing waits at the film processing shop. Instant gratification for the “me now” generation.

However, this is where the misnomer occurred. It was not a “revolution” it was merely an “evolution”. The principles of photography (sometimes called ‘painting with light’ by the romantics) were just the same. And the application of them was just the same. A lens let in the light, for a proscribed length of time, and this was recorded by light sensitive electronic “film”. The difference was that you did not have to develop this new electronic “film” in chemicals. It could be viewed immediately by using electronic processing. Really, there was no difference.

Now, just as the old film cameras had aperture and shutter speed controls that were adjustable by the photographer, guess what? The new digital cameras have apertures and shutter speeds that are adjustable by the photographer as well. And in the same way, you can get creative results from your digital camera, exactly the same as you could with your film camera.

This is where some differences occur, however. With the ‘old fashioned’ film cameras you rotated a dial on the lens barrel to open or close the diameter of the aperture, and you had a dial on the top of the camera that you rotated to give you different shutter speeds. The two factors could be operated independently, and this was called Fully Manual Mode. However, with these new-fangled revolutionary digital cameras you get things called ‘drop down menus’ and you had to push multi-purpose up, down and sideways buttons to select different apertures or shutter speeds.

However, you have to learn where the “Manual” setting is on your new electronic marvel. This is the setting where you can choose the shutter speed and the aperture independently. If you choose shutter priority or aperture priority, the electronic ‘smarts’ in the camera will adjust setting to give you a standard exposure - not what you want with experimental photography.

I believe it is not quite as easy with digital cameras to adjust the shutter speed and aperture as many times you are left between drop down menus and rotary buttons, but your camera operation book will tell you if you are unsure.

The message here is that all the old controls are still there, under your control. It is just not as easy in my opinion (but I am still struggling with the remote for the TV set). Simple rotary dials are quicker and easier than drop-down menus for my money! But you are still in control.

In the fully manual mode, try giving larger and larger apertures and see what the differences are - which you can do ‘instantly’ with digital cameras. Likewise, try different shutter speeds and compare the end results.

Try a little creativity this weekend!


Modern Medicine: by Dr. Iain Corness, Consultant

“Natural” remedies? Are they good for you?

Unfortunately, despite all the advances in medicine, I have to admit that it is still somewhat of an inexact ‘science’. We do not have the cures for all ailments, in fact far from it. But we have not given up. We continue to try, to experiment and, most importantly, to test. Regular readers of this column will know that I have mentioned the acronym EBM many times. This stands for “Evidence Based Medicine” and is a key factor in modern medicine. It just means we test until we have the evidence that any drug or treatment really does work. This all takes time, as the evidence cannot just hang on one person who got better. It requires huge series, across the globe.

However, as patients, or sufferers of any complaint, we want that “cure” right now! Consequently, with all medical conditions where we cannot give the patient the “wonder drug” there is then a tendency for them to try something else, anything else, hoping for the relief that conventional medicine has not promised or delivered. For the musculo-skeletal conditions, for example, the “alternatives” are multiple, from magnets to mussels from New Zealand. But do they really work?

The problem with the non-pharmaceutical mainline pills and potions industry is in unbiased scientific testing. The tablets that Roche, Parke-Davis, Bayer and all that lot produce are rigorously and vigorously (viagorously?) tested. Not only do the drug companies have to show that their pills actually work, but they also have to show what side effects they can produce and whether or not they interact with other pills and potions to make explosive mixtures. The “alternative” pill and potion manufacturers have not had the same degree of scientific scrutiny.

There are those who will claim that because the remedies come from plants, that the ingredients are then “natural” and therefore OK for us humans. This is pseudo-scientific nonsense. Extracts of plants and herbs are chemicals - and some chemicals can kill, that is why wild animals can die after eating the wrong plants. So can you!

So let us look at a few of the alternative treatments and analyse just whether they are indeed efficacious. Willow Bark is one that is used for arthritis, because it was imagined that since the tree grew in damp environments, and arthritis was thought to be caused by “damp” then treatment with the bark was “logical”. The herbalists got the right answer, however, no matter how wrong the reasons! Willow Bark does have an effect because it contains salicylates - more commonly known these days as aspirin! Other “natural” sources of aspirin include poplar tree bark, black cohosh (a North American plant), pansies, violets and meadowsweet. Aspirin works!

Have you heard of Devil’s Claw? This South African plant has been studied to see if it has any anti-inflammatory action in arthritis. The small studies that have been done show no effect, but it is an analgesic (pain killer), so those people with arthritis do feel better when they take it. In fact, demand is now outstripping supply - but they would do just as well with a strip of paracetamol tablets. And cheaper too!

Another of the well touted treatments for arthritis is the green lipped mussel. According to the pundits, this form of treatment has had numerous clinical trials, and unfortunately, the same number of clinical failures! However, I believe they are quite nice steamed with garlic, ginger and shallots!

One other niggling problem with the “natural” therapies is that for musculo-skeletal problems, most of which are of a long standing chronic nature, even less scientific work has been done to see what happens when you take these medications for a protracted period of time. Until long term safety has been ascertained, I would counsel caution, and beware mixing pharmaceutical drugs and over the counter “alternatives”!

Reactions to pharmaceutical items are still reasonably rare and well documented. I cannot say the same for the “natural” remedies.

Finally, I was very amused to read of a health food shop being offered for sale. The reason the owner was prepared to sell? Ill health!


Heart to Heart with Hillary

Dear Hillary,

I sympathize with you, Petal, as I too have had a life-long battle with my addiction to chocolate. I first knew I was addicted when I was about five years old and used to bite off some of my Mum’s cooking chocolate. Then I went through hell as a teenager with pimples every day, but I had to keep nibbling the chocolates. I didn’t care. These days I need a Mars bar every day or I can get the withdrawals. What do you do about the cravings?

Charlie Chocolate

Dear Charlie Chocolate,

You have me all wrong, Petal. I am not addicted to chocolate, I just like chocolate. I don’t need chocolate every day, and the chocolates (and champagne) have been pretty sparse recently anyway. If I was feeding your addiction, I’d be in very bad withdrawals by now. Seriously though, I think you should talk to your doctor about this. You might have sugar or something. And by the way, you are my Petal, I am not your Petal. OK?

Dear Hillary,

You might think this is a trivial problem, but it isn’t for me. About a year ago I set up home with a Thai girl, who is many years my junior. This does not seem to bother her, though it bothers me at times. Her family comes from the north east and I have been up there and met them, and they seemed nice enough farming folks. They accepted me quite readily, but I always felt a little left out at the family gatherings as they can only speak Thai and my girl had to translate all the time. (They also drink that awful Lao khao stuff!) For this reason, and because I am busy at work, I have not been back up there, though my girl does go up frequently. Is this the usual way families behave in this country? If it is, I will say nothing, but she will often go back for two or three days, the last being the end of Buddhist Lent. Have I anything to worry about?

The Worrier

Dear Worrier,

You may have lots to worry about, or nothing at all. Are you worrying because you think she is not going back to the family rice paddy? I am having to try and read between the lines too much here. It is very usual for daughters to go home and pay respects to their family, and often contribute financially as well. Does your lady have children there that are being looked after by her Mama? Honestly, Petal, it sounds very normal to me. Talk to your friends who have been married to a Thai girl for some time. You’ll find it is the norm in this country. Caring and following the family principles will carry over to you as well, if you allow her to follow her traditions. In the meantime you can always see your doctor for some anti-worrying pills!

Dear Hillary,

My problem is with bad breath. In the mornings it would peel the paint from the walls, but my girlfriend wants an early morning snog. I have tried holding my breath, but that doesn’t work as I have to come up for air after thirty seconds. Have you any ideas that might help?

Hal

Dear Hal,

Is that short for “Halitosis”, but do not despair, help is at hand. Try first by jumping out of bed and throwing the toothbrush over the gums before the morning snog. If there still is a problem, make flossing and teeth cleaning the family fashion before retiring at night. And look for a dentist.

Dear Hillary,

I asked my Thai girlfriend to marry me, but she said that she could not because her family did not agree. I found this amazing as the girl, a woman really, is 28 years old and surely old enough to make up her own mind. We have been dating for the last three months, and I thought everything was sweet with her parents. I have been married before and have grown up children, but she does not. Do you think it is because I am a foreigner? Or is there something else I am missing here? I had intended taking her back to my home country after we were married.

Confused

Dear Confused,

I think there is lots that I am missing in this equation too. Where do her parents live? What are their occupations, including that of the daughter? Where in the family hierarchy does the daughter come? All these can have an enormous bearing on the response by the family, as well as the woman’s adherence to family traditions. You also have to remember that you are probably more than twice her age, and again, as you have realized, you are a foreigner. You have not been dating very long either, Petal. You may think you know this woman after three months, but I doubt it. Understanding Thai society and Thai minds can be a very difficult process for foreigners. Finally, it could really just mean that she didn’t want to disappoint you, so used the usual excuse. Sounds like a lost cause. Better start looking somewhere else.


Let’s go to the movies: by Mark Gernpy

Now playing in Pattaya

The Twilight Saga: Eclipse: US, Fantasy/ Romance/ Thriller – The gang is back again! In this episode, which I know you’ve been waiting for breathlessly, Bella once again finds herself surrounded by danger as Seattle is ravaged by a string of mysterious killings. And that malicious vampire continues her quest for revenge. In the midst of all this, Bella is forced to choose between her love for Edward (heartthrob Robert Pattinson) and her friendship with Jacob (heartthrob Taylor Lautner) – knowing that her decision has the potential to ignite the struggle between vampire and werewolf, and a tissy fit between fans of each. With her graduation quickly approaching, Bella is confronted with the most important decision of her life – and the film’s fans.

Toy Story & Toy Story 2 (3D): US, Animation/ Family – A double-feature yet! Two of the best films of the 90s, in a lot of people’s opinion, are here gussied-up in 3D – nothing gimmicky, just a little added depth. It’s probably not necessary, but it allows you to see these two terrific Pixar films in a theater with an audience, like you should. Starring Tom Hanks, Tim Allen, Don Rickles, Jim Varney, Wallace Shawn, and John Ratzenberger. Reviews: Universal acclaim.

StreetDance 3D: UK, Dance/ Drama – * May unfortunately be closed by the time you read this. I really enjoyed it! The film blends break dancing with classical ballet in some very interesting ways, experimenting in choreography, in cinematography, in use of 3D, in music, and in dancing. In order to win England’s Street Dance Championships, a dance crew is forced to work with ballet dancers from the Royal Dance School in exchange for rehearsal space. With the always terrific Charlotte Rampling as a ballet school administrator, and groups from Britain’s Got Talent. The dance sequences are impressive, the dancers really quite good. Generally favorable reviews. At Pattaya Beach only, in their 3D cinema, if it’s still playing.

Knight and Day: US, Action/ Comedy/ Thriller – The film where Tom Cruise gets to show his chops again, after some absence. And early reports say he is charming again in every way, with the old Cruise magic in place. And the magic of Cameron Diaz. But as for the movie itself, it’s been described as “A loud, seemingly interminable, and altogether incoherent entry in the preposterous and proliferating ‘action-comedy’ genre, it stars Tom Cruise and Cameron Diaz as a pair of hastily sketched cartoon characters hurtling from plane crash to car chase to further car, helicopter and motorcycle chases, one involving stampeding bulls.” Mixed or average reviews. Big C also has a Thai-dubbed version.

The Karate Kid: US/ China, Action/ Drama/ Family/ Sport – Stars a talentless kid who is only in films because his father is so powerful in the business, and is producing it. The kid’s a spoiled brat, and if I could get away with it, I wouldn’t even acknowledge the film’s existence. Also stars Jackie Chan, and it was filmed in Beijing emphasizing tourism sites. Generally favorable reviews, which I can’t believe.

The A-Team: US, Action/ Adventure/ Thriller – A big-screen version of the TV series, and which captures the superficial and noisy spirit of the original. A group of Iraq War veterans looks to clear their name with the US military, who suspect the four men of committing a crime – they were actually framed. Going “rogue,” the colorful team utilizes their unique talents to try and clear things up and find the true culprits. Starring Liam Neeson and Jessica Biel. Mixed or average reviews. Thai-dubbed at Big C.

Killers: US, Action/ Comedy/ Romance/ Thriller – Starring Ashton Kutcher, Katherine Heigl, Tom Selleck. A vacationing woman meets her ideal man, leading to a swift marriage. Back at home, however, their idyllic life is upset when they discover their neighbors could be assassins who have been contracted to kill them. Mostly no thrills or laughs, and dull. Generally unfavorable reviews.

That Sounds Good / Rao Song Sam Khon – Thai, Romance/ Comedy – A comedy that follows the journey of two girls and one guy, and how they form a complicated love triangle on their journey through three countries: Thailand, Laos, and Vietnam. Directed by Leo Kittikorn, responsible for such items as “Ahimsa: Stop to Run”, and “Saving Private Tootsie”. May only be in Thai.

Bitter/Sweet: US/ Thai, Comedy/ Romance – Studio synopsis: “American businessman Brian Chandler has a perfect life with a great job and beautiful fiancee. When his boss, renegade coffee mogul Calvert Jenkins sends him to Thailand to inspect a crop for purchase, Brian meets Ticha, a beautiful Bangkok executive who has long-since given up on the prospects of finding love. At the urging of her old village and her coffee farmer parents, Ticha brings Brian to the coffee fields of Southern Krabi, with the hopes that Brian will purchase coffee there.” In Thai and English with English and Thai subtitles as needed. At Major Cineplex only.

Prince of Persia: US, Action/ Adventure/ Fantasy/ Romance – It’s an old-style Arabian Nights story, set in medieval Persia when a nefarious nobleman (Kingsley) covets the Sands of Time, a legendary dagger that allows its possessor to turn back time. The film stars Jake Gyllenhaal, a quite luscious and appealing Gemma Arterton, an enjoyable villain in Ben Kingsley, and a lot of fun in the comedy of Alfred Molina. Some of the rather unique moves that you make in the video game this film is based on, such as running along walls at an angle to the ground, are duplicated here, and there’s some sense of the game’s action and visuals. Mixed or average reviews. Thai dubbed at Big C.

Robin Hood: US, Action/ Drama – Robin Hood as gladiator, brought to life by director Ridley Scott, and starring Russell Crowe, all grunting and scowling. It does have impressive visuals and some great sweeping battle scenes, and strong performances, but it’s loud, noisy, and confusing in the modern way of showing battles, where clarity is sacrificed for jittery, jumpy editing, and you are left with visual impressions, not information. Mixed or average reviews. At Major Cineplex only, if still playing.

Shrek Forever After 3D: US, Animation/ Comedy/ Family – The further adventures of the giant green ogre. Still a fun movie for the family – at least I was solidly amused. At Pattaya Beach only, in their 3D cinema, if it’s still playing. Mixed or average reviews.

Nang Takien / Takien: The Haunted Tree: Thai, Drama/ Horror – The latest ghost story to hit the big screen in Thailand, about the spirit of a suicidal garment-factory worker inhabiting the tree where she hanged herself when she couldn’t find her boyfriend. At Pattaya Beach only, if still playing. Rated 18+ in Thailand.

Poh Tak / Po Taek: Thai, Comedy – Directed by popular comedian-turned-director, Mum Jokmok, this is a comedy parody that explores lives in front of and behind the cameras of the Thai film industry. Features many of the regulars on Mum’s popular TV show.