COLUMNS

HEADLINES [click on headline to view story]:
 
Winebibbers Grapevine
 
Heart to Heart with Hillary
    
Modern Medicine: Cirrhosis
 
Family Money: Equating Risk & Return from Equities (Part 2)

Winebibber’s Grapevine

Terminally ill TV
A reclusive German couch potato has been found dead in his South Pattaya flat many weeks after he expired. The middle aged tourist, who would have been 48 if he had lived, was found sitting in an armchair in front of the TV when an estate agent called to collect the rent. The set was still switched on and was showing a football match. Neighbors said that the sports hater had last been seen two months ago grumbling about the extensive coverage of the World Cup which he claimed was boring him to death. Suicide rather than foul play is suspected.

Beauty in hand
Following the sensational publication of a British university report which claims that men have higher levels of the hormone testosterone if their middle finger is longer than two inches, supermarket stores in Pattaya are reporting rush sales of rulers and tape measures. But some scientists are doubting the truth of the research, pointing out that last year another UK report argued that premenstrual tension tends to be higher in women than in men. Doctors close to Pattaya Mail suggest that, if you are concerned, you should plan to have a medical checkup outside Britain.

Daredevil Reg
Innkeepers will be delighted to hear that high-spending daredevil Reg Proctor from Sheffield is back in Pattaya. Motorcycle enthusiast Reg is famous for having ridden the wall of death round the living room of the Needles lighthouse keeper’s living room in 1992. During his convalescence, he worked out from his hospital bed his own weight in diamonds to exactly seven million and sixteen carats. Reg says he plans to spend four weeks in Pattaya and expects to visit every bar between the North and South roads, except those catering for friends of Dorothy.

Business as usual
Although still being discussed, the new Foreign Business Law allows for farang participation in thirty three more fields of employment largely to free up the financial and agricultural sectors which are seen as too restricted by the IMF. However, scrutiny of the small print reveals that foreigners may also be eligible to become glass blowers and hairdressers. But not, presumably, at the same time.

That’s Pattaya life
Excessive wine drinker ‘Big’ John Townsend, based in Soi Post Office, assumed he had only weeks to live after his doctor told him he must take a gout medicine every day for the rest of his life. When friends asked why he believed he was about to die, he pointed to the prescription which said "No Refills"... Terrible confusion last week in the trivial pursuits quiz after a player objected that the Gaza Strip is not in the Middle East. He claimed it was a nude go go club in Bangkok’s red light district.

Ground Samaritans
Given that Pattaya Mail does not currently have a gardening column, Grapevine has taken it upon itself to answer readers’ questions about the subject: "Dear Mrs Worthington, Thank you for your fax in which you indicate you have recently moved into a delightful bungalow in Jomtien Nivate but are very unclear which of the plants left by the previous tenant are weeds and which are valuable. Our advice is to pull on the plant with your bare hands. If it comes out of the ground easily, then it is not a weed."

Restricted foods
Where in Pattaya can you get chocolate pudding or Banoffi pie for dessert? Try the Sportsman’s Inn in Soi Yodsak. And the tastiest pumpkin soup? At the Balcony Restaurant in North Road (and sometimes by the salad bar at Bruno’s). And real HP sauce? Stocks still exist at a diminishing number of restaurants, including Fawlty Towers in Soi 7 and Poteen Still in Soi Yodsak. And the best Big Breakfast? Close, but it’s still gotta be Greg’s Kitchen on Second Road if you are not on a fat free diet. And the closest thing to English fish and chips? Better ask Jit on the Naklua Road.

Thai habitat
If you are furnishing a house, or renewing its contents, try the newly opened Podium emporium which is opposite Macro on Sukhumvit Highway in Chonburi. The round trip is around 120 kilometers, but there is an excellent warehouse selection of bedding, furniture, gardening equipment, soft furnishings and mass produced objets d’art. Open every day from 11 a.m. thru 8 p.m. A big bonus for farang browsers is that you won’t be pressurized to buy.

Living in style
When buying wine, remember that some countries, notably Japan, allow the label "Made in Japan" even though the home produced content is as low as 8%. It’s actually Bulgarian grapes with a liquid dash of the Orient. One of the best selections of wines in Pattaya may be found at the new Friendship Supermarket on South Road. Remember to cast an eye on their special offers near the checkout counters.

Medical shots
Overheard in the Hare House in Soi Post Office, where golfers without a handicap can find out where they are going wrong. A new nurse listens while Doctor Bryce is yelling, "Tetanus! Typhoid! Measles!" So the newcomer asks another nurse, "Why is he doing that?" The second nurse replies, "Oh, he just likes to call the shots around here."

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Dear Hillary,
I don’t know how much more of my boyfriend’s hobby I can take! He is a Thai I am from Australia. I do understand that our culture and upbringing are different, yet there’s something I really cannot cope with. He’s obsessed with guns and rifles... in short, everything I despise. We talk about getting married, but that would mean living with these deadly weapons in my house. We’ve been together for one year now and I don’t want to throw all that time out the window, but all my complaints to get rid of those firearms are useless. He won’t compromise. Please help me with some advice!

No Guns

Dear No Guns,
There’s a big difference between a hobby and an obsession. Hobbies occupy spare time and energy. Obsessions suck up all a person’s time and energy, leaving little room for anything else. And unless you share a partner’s obsession, living together is practically impossible. On top of that, your boyfriend’s particular passion for "deadly weapons" happens to be one that disgusts you. I highly doubt that you can stay with a man who not only indulges in a dangerous pastime that you despise but who, knowing how you feel, will not compromise by keeping his guns and ammo out of the house you plan on sharing someday. My advice is for you to remember that it’s a lot easier to throw one year out the window right now, than to throw out 10 years of a mistaken marriage sometime down the road.

Dear Hillary,
My husband and I have been having a real bad time lately. He has been having affairs and I had just hit my breaking point one night when a friend of his was over and I got yet another phone call from one of his girlfriends. His friend was consoling me and one thing led to another. First we did not make love but we sure did make out, for hours he held me the way I had wanted my husband to do for so long. At the end we made love and I was ready to end my marriage that night. What I did that night I did not do to hurt him, I was just so sick of feeling alone and unwanted. His friend made me feel cared about and wanted again. Anyway, my husband and I made up again after I confronted him about his newest girlfriend. He promised to not do the things he was doing anymore and I agreed we would give it one more try. So far, I haven’t heard from any new or old girlfriend and it seems that he really stopped seeing them. Now the problem is that his friend is always around, they work together and also do things together in the evenings. Now guilt is starting to get to me and I am not sure what to do to get rid of it. Should I tell him about what I did or should I just let it go and forget it ever happened?

Guilty

Dear Guilty,
First of all, decide if telling him would be better or worse for the effort of your making things better? Why would you tell him, to clear your conscience or to give him a taste of what you have been experiencing? If it’s simply a ‘good for the goose, good for the gander’ reason, best to work through it on your own. Do you feel guilty for feeling wanted again? You shouldn’t! If you are feeling guilt, you need to know where the feeling is manifesting. Also, how close a friend is this of your husband? This will also affect their relationship just as profoundly as it would yours. You can always speak to this friend of his, also. He provided support to you before, he may be able to again absence the physicality. In the end, the decision is yours and only you know how your husband will react. Just take a good look at the big picture and determine where all the pieces fit and will fit in each scenario. Good Luck to you.

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  Modern Medicine: Cirrhosis

Presented by Bangkok-Pattaya Hospital

by Dr. Iain Corness

Most people have heard of the condition we call Cirrhosis, and like road accidents, it is a condition that occurs to everyone else, but not to them! Unfortunately, the incidence of cirrhosis is increasing - so you could be next. Better read on!

Cirrhosis is a disease process occurring in the liver. This important organ lies in the upper right side of your tummy, under the lower ribs and is involved with the removal of toxins from the blood. In this condition, the normal liver tissue slowly becomes hard and fibrous. After this, the liver swells and stops elimination of bile producing jaundice, fluid builds up in the legs and belly, bleeding from the bowel becomes common, followed by a form of encephalitis ending up in death from one of many diseases or infections. If you get the feeling reading all that lot that Cirrhosis aint fun, then you’re right!

The commonest cause of Cirrhosis is our old friend C2H5OH, the chemical symbol for Alcohol. Becoming other important factors in the production of this liver disease are the persistent viruses Hepatitis B and Hepatitis C. After that comes chemical toxins and drugs followed by a raft of metabolic disorders and vascular conditions. But there, at the top of the list, is Alcohol.

Now don’t get me wrong, I like my beer, wine, champagne and spirits as much as the next person, it is just a sobering thought (nice pun, eh!) that the stuff can do so much damage.

The liver really is a fabulous organ. It is the only one which can re-grow if there is an undamaged 20% of it left. Unfortunately, in Cirrhosis, the fibrotic disease process affects all of the liver and there is not a good 20% left.

So what can we do? The first thing, in my opinion, is to check your Hepatitis B and C status. If you’ve got these little blighters you can kiss alcohol goodbye. You are on the wagon. End of story - or it will be then end of your story! The liver cannot take the booze and the viruses.

If you’re free of Hep B & C, then it is a case of "sensible" drinking. Medically, we are also recommending AFD’s for everyone. That’s Alcohol Free Days! I can see some of you getting the shakes already. What do I drink instead? Try soda water, or orange juice, or lemon squash. Anything other than alcohol.

You see, by having an AFD you are giving the liver some "breathing space". You are letting it catch up with its detoxification duties, and letting it repair itself, while it still has the capacity to do so. Schedule at least one AFD a week, and your chances of getting Cirrhosis are considerably less! Try it!

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  Family Money: Equating Risk & Return from Equities (Part 2)

By Leslie Wright

What’s a fair price?

A rule of thumb which can be applied to get an approximate idea of whether a particular stock is over- or under-priced is to add 10 to that particular market’s prevailing inflation rate, and see how the resulting figure compares to that stock’s price-to-earnings ratio, or ‘P/E ratio’ for short.

If the two figures are almost the same, it can be said that the stock is trading at a reasonably fair price.

If significantly higher, the stock - or indeed, the whole market - may be overheated. That is; too expensive, and perhaps due for a correction.

On the other hand, if the P/E ratio is significantly lower than inflation +10, then the stock might be regarded as good value, and a potential buy.

Thus a stock which is trading at 16x earnings in the U.S.A. could be regarded as over-priced and perhaps due for a correction, whilst a stock trading at 16x in Hong Kong could well be undervalued, and a bargain.

Of course, there are other factors as well. A particular stock may be undervalued, or it may be lousy value. Before buying any particular stock, a bit of homework is required.

Spreading the risk

Large international investment houses employ legions of economists and analysts who spend their whole time sifting through stocks and looking for fundamental value.

When they find a stock that is undervalued but seems to be a sound firm with good potential for gain, they will advise the traders or fund managers to buy it.

It will then become part of an institutional fund’s holdings, and investors into that particular fund will, in turn, have a small slice of the underlying stocks.

Sometimes these stocks are quite obscure firms which most investors would never have heard of - but will often produce a very handsome return for the fund.

So-called ‘Blue Chips’ are regarded by many as the "best" stocks to have in an equity portfolio.

Stocks like IBM and Coca-Cola keep chugging away nicely, making profits and paying dividends year after year, and even having the occasional stock-split (which can double your holdings overnight.)

They are seen as non-volatile, steady performers.

‘Blue Chips’ are relatively unexciting, however, for the get-rich-quick speculators.

While it is true that over the long term, stocks outperform bonds, which outperform cash, a portfolio comprising a few ‘Blue Chips’ in one or two markets will still be affected by the overall movements of those particular markets in the short term.

You run the risk of losing money (even if only on paper, and maybe only for the short term) if that market takes a downturn because of fundamental economic changes.

After all, the index of a particular market will be made up of the major players in that market - which are usually the ‘Blue Chip’ stocks!

Direct versus indirect investment

Spreading the risks inherent in stock market trading requires spreading your investment through more than just a few well-known stocks and in more than one or two major markets.

Most investors have insufficient capital to do this.

A few thousand dollars would buy just a few shares of just a few stocks. This is hardly "diversification"!

For most investors, the only way to achieve this is by pooling their resources with thousands of other investors. This means using collective investment instruments offered by large financial institutions.

Examples of this method of investing are unit trusts, mutual funds, and unit-linked insurance policies.

Because of the economy of scale these substantial institutions can bring to bear on the markets, trading costs normally involved with the buying & selling of shares are substantially reduced.

The resources behind institutional funds enable "average" investors to access stocks and the pick of the world’s stock markets relatively inexpensively and without having to spend the time, effort and money attempting to research the markets and chasing after fundamental value by themselves.

In addition, using a number of institutional funds allows individuals to build a more widely diversified portfolio - with therefore less risk - than if they invested directly into one or even several stock markets.

They can build a highly flexible, globally-diversified portfolio that suits their needs, wants - and sometimes prejudices - from amongst the thousands of institutional funds that are available nowadays, and in a cost-effective manner.

It would take far more capital than most investors have available to construct a diversified, strategic balance of equity holdings such as can be acquired with a relatively small investment into a number of institutional funds.

Most investors don’t have the time or access to the relevant information needed to monitor and manage their portfolios, even if they have the interest or expertise to do so.

Institutional funds are constantly monitored and actively managed by experienced professionals who do nothing else. Also, as these people are quite often the moving forces behind sudden market movements, it makes eminent sense to ride on their coat-tails.

This reduces your risk of the markets taking a sudden dive and you being caught unawares until it’s too late. The fund manager will (hopefully!) already have divested himself of his fund’s holdings in that market, and found good value elsewhere.

The problem then becomes knowing which funds to select to access a particular market - but that’s another story.

If you have any comments or queries on this article, or about other topics concerning investment matters, write to Leslie Wright, c/o Family Money, Pattaya Mail, or fax him directly on (038) 232522 or e-mail him at [email protected]. Further details and back articles can be accessed on his firm’s website on www.westminsterthailand.com.

Leslie Wright is Managing Director of Westminster Portfolio Services (Thailand) Ltd., a firm of independent financial advisors providing advice to expatriate residents of the Eastern Seaboard on personal financial planning and international investments.

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